Tuesday, November 3, 2009

Election Night Part III-Saving Face

Welcome back. It's 11:24pm and even The Big Picture thinks I've been obsessing too much about a few local races tonight. But it just makes me so angry to see Fox News conservatives gleeful and hopeful after what we did last year.

The networks called New Jersey for Republican challenger Chris Christie earlier this evening, handing the GOP their 2nd Gubernatorial pickup of the night. Christie's margin of victory will probably end up being in the 5% range. I attribute Christie's victory to a number of reasons. One, Corzine was deeply unpopular, and unpopular incumbents will have a tough time winning. Two, even appearances by President Obama couldn't fire up a Democratic base that just plain doesn't like Corzine, and three the candidacy of Independent Chris Daggett didn't seem to be much of a factor. He apparantly only got 6% or so of the race. For those of you keeping score at home, Democrats will now control 26 state houses, and Republicans will control 24. I expect next year that at least 10 state houses will switch parties if the current political climate continues.

But, Democrats, we just might have something to celebrate tonight! Democrat Bill Owens has a 3-4 point lead over Conservative Doug Hoffman in the special election to replace GOP Congressman John McHugh. As you know, Republican moderate Dede Scozzafava dropped out of the race this past weekend and endorsed Owens. It seems like the grassroots conservative enthusiasm came mostly from outside the district. So when all is said and done tonight, the Democrats will have one more House seat than they did at the beginning of this Congress. That's assuming John Garamendi wins tonight in CA-10. That race is not official, so don't celebrate just yet. We'll give you a final update tomorrow morning. I hope my Republican friends enjoy themselvs tonight.

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