Tuesday, November 3, 2009

The Daily Strike-11/3/09-Election Night Part I

Good evening and welcome to the Daily Strike. We'll be bringing you comprehensive coverage of tonight's election. So far, it's going just about as expected. This is the first of what will be several updates.

At about 8pm EST, an hour after the polls have closed in Virginia, NBC projects Bob McDonnell, the Republican, has beaten Creigh Deeds, the Democrat. This is certainly not a surprise. In fact, antsy liberal bloggers were crowing about how the race took almost an hour to project. It looks like Deeds is about 10 points behind last year's Obama totals in various swing districts, so it looks like McDonnell will eke out a 12 point win or so. I shouldn't call that eking out, but what the hell. I'm getting those numbers from the great Nate Silver by the way.

In down ballot races, Democrats are getting thumped. Bill Bolling is crushing Jody Wagner in the race for Lieutenant Governor, and Ken Cucinelli is up big on Stephen Shannon in the race for Attorney General. Overall, a very poor night for Democrats in the Commonwealth of Virginia.

This officially ends an 8 year run of Democratic governors in the Old Dominion. Long live the legacy of Warner and Kaine.

Obama's brand has certainly deteriorated in Virginia. And Democrats shoud in no way try to rationalize this embarrassing loss. But Deeds did not run a good campaign. The way you win a race in Virginia is turning out minority voters and Nothern Virginia. That means playing to the base, which Deeds explicitly did not do. I will never forgive him for implying that he would potentially opt out of Obama's health care plan.

Up next, we'll be watching for results from the razor thin race for New Jersey governor. At 9pm, the polls close in New York's 23rd Congressional District. Stay tuned.

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